胡文斌,张 婷,秦 威.昆山市2006~2012年甲状腺癌发病率趋势分析[J].中国肿瘤,2014,23(7):558-562. |
昆山市2006~2012年甲状腺癌发病率趋势分析 |
An Analysis of the Trend of Incidence of Thyroid Cancer from 2006 to 2012 in Kunshan,Jiangsu Province |
投稿时间:2013-10-29 |
DOI:10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2014.07.A006 |
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中文关键词: 甲状腺癌 发病率 灰色预测模型 年度变化百分比 |
英文关键词:thyroid cancer incidence grey forecasting model annual percent change |
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中文摘要: |
摘 要:[目的] 分析昆山市甲状腺癌发病趋势。[方法] 甲状腺癌新发病例来源于昆山市肿瘤登记报告系统,计算甲状腺癌发病率、年度变化百分比(APC)等指标。[结果] 2006~2012年昆山市甲状腺癌中标发病率由2006年的2.76/10万上升至2012年的12.91/10万,年度变化百分比(APC)为29.71%(P<0.0001),其中女性甲状腺癌中标发病率由2006年的5.01/10万上升至2012年的21.39/10万,APC为27.39%(P<0.0001)。灰色模型预测2013~2015年甲状腺癌发病率呈上升趋势。[结论]昆山市甲状腺癌发病率呈上升趋势,需加强肿瘤防治工作。 |
英文摘要: |
Abstract:[Purpose] To investigate the trend of incidence of thyroid cancer in Kunshan,Jiangsu province. [Methods] The data of thyroid cancer cases were drawn from the Kunshan Cancer Registry. Incidence of thyroid cancer,annual percent change(APC) were analyzed. [Results] The age-standardized incidence by China(ASR China) of thyroid cancer was 2.76/105 in 2006,which increased to 12.91 /105 in 2012 with annual percent(APC) of 29.71%(P<0.0001),the ASR China in female was 5.01/105 in 2006 to 21.39 /105 in 2012 with APC of 27.39%(P<0.0001). Grey forecasting model showed incidence of thyroid cancer with increasing trend.[Conclusion] The incidence of thyroid cancer in Kunshan from 2006 to 2012 shows increased trend,and the prevention and control must be strengthed. |
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