| 朱晓云,高 霞,夏曙梅.人口老龄化对1985~2009年上海市金山区肺癌发病率变化影响的量化研究[J].中国肿瘤,2013,22(6):432-435. |
| 人口老龄化对1985~2009年上海市金山区肺癌发病率变化影响的量化研究 |
| Quantificational Research on Aging Population’s Influence on Incidence for Lung Cancer in Jinshan District， Shanghai from 1985 to 2009 |
| 投稿时间：2013-03-08 |
| DOI：10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2013.06.A201301084 |
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| 中文关键词: 人口老龄化 肺癌 发病率 差别分解法 |
| 英文关键词:aging of population lung cancer incidence rate difference decomposition method |
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| 摘要点击次数: 3725 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 摘 要：［目的］ 了解人口老龄化在上海市金山区肺癌发病率升高中的作用，为政府部门评价肺癌防治工作效果、制订肺癌防治措施提供科学依据。［方法］ 以1985年人口结构和年龄别肺癌发病率为基准，采用发病率差别分解法计算不同年份人口结构和其他影响因素变化对肺癌发病率升高的贡献值。［结果］ 2009年金山居民肺癌发病率为65.02/10万，是1985年（26.48/10万）的2.46倍。2009年肺癌标化发病率为33.03/10万，是1985年（25.91/10万）的1.28倍。人口结构老龄化在肺癌发病率升高中贡献比重从1990年的13.47%上升至2009年的71.10%，而其他影响因素的贡献比重却从1990年的86.53%下降至2009年的28.90%。［结论］ 人口老龄化是导致金山区肺癌发病率升高的重要影响因素之一。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Abstract: ［Purpose］ To investigate the effect of aging population for the rise in lung cancer incidence in Jinshan district，Shanghai to provided scientific evidence for making policies and prevention for lung cancer. ［Methods］ Based on population structure and age-specific incidence rate in 1985，annual contribution of aging population structure and other influence factors were analyzed by incidence rate-different decomposition method. ［Results］ Incidence rate of lung cancer was 65.02/105 in 2009 and 26.48 /105 in 1985 in Jinshan district. The incidence rate of lung cancer in 2009 was 2.46 times than of that in 1985. Standardized incidence rate of lung cancer was 33.03/105 in 2009 and 25.91 in 1985. Standardized incidonce rate of lung cancer in 2009 was 1.28 times than of that in 1985. Proportion of contribution of aging population to the rise of incidence of lung cancer increased from 13.47%(1990) to 71.10%(2009)，proportion of contribution of other influence factors decreased from 86.53%(1990) to 28.90%(2009) though.［Conclusions］ Aging population is one of the most important influencing factors led to the rise of incidence for lung cancer in Jinshan district. |
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