2000—2021年浙江省肿瘤登记地区喉癌发病死亡流行现状与趋势分析
Analysis of the Epidemiological Status and Trends in Laryngeal Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Zhejiang Province’s Cancer Registry Areas, 2000–2021
投稿时间:2026-07-23  修订日期:2026-08-31
DOI:
中文关键词:  喉癌  发病率  死亡率  趋势分析  浙江
英文关键词:Laryngeal Cancer  Incidence  Mortality  Epidemiology  Zhejiang
基金项目:浙江省疾病预防控制科技计划项目(No.2026JKY323)
作者单位邮编
赖碎丽 浙江省青田县疾病预防控制中心 323900
陈禹呈 浙江省青田县疾病预防控制中心 323900
徐岚静 浙江省青田县疾病预防控制中心 323900
杜灵彬 浙江省肿瘤医院 310022
李辉章* 浙江省肿瘤医院 310022
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中文摘要:
      摘要:[目的] 分析2000—2021年浙江省肿瘤登记地区喉癌的发病与死亡流行特征及趋势,为制定喉癌防控策略提供依据。[方法] 收集2000—2021年浙江省肿瘤登记地区上报的喉癌发病与死亡数据,经浙江省癌症中心审核整理,计算粗率、年龄标化率(中国年龄标准化率/世界年龄标准化率,简称中标/世标率)、累积率及截断率。采用Joinpoint回归模型计算平均年度变化百分比(average annual percentage change,AAPC)分析流行趋势。[结果] 2000—2021年浙江省肿瘤登记地区喉癌平均粗发病率为1.97/10万,中标率为1.09/10万,世标率为1.12/10万;0~74岁累积发病率为0.14%,35~64岁截缩发病率为1.95/10万;喉癌粗死亡率为0.74/10万,中标率为0.38/10万,世标率为0.38/10万;0~74岁累积死亡率为0.04%,35~64岁截缩死亡率为0.44/10万。喉癌发病率在40岁前处于较低水平,50岁后快速上升,总体和男性发病率在75~79岁组达峰值,女性则于80~84岁组达峰值。2000—2021年喉癌中标发病率整体变化平稳,女性中标发病率呈显著下降趋势(AAPC=-4.66%,95%CI: -6.79% ~ -2.30%,P<0.001),而农村地区呈显著上升趋势(AAPC=4.48%,95%CI: 2.50% ~ 6.56%,P<0.001)。喉癌中标死亡率呈上升趋势(AAPC=3.16%,95%CI: 0.19%?~?5.40%,P<0.05),其中男性中标死亡率亦呈显著上升(AAPC=2.20%,95%CI: 0.28%?~?4.24%,P<0.05);女性中标死亡率AAPC为31.32%(95%CI: 8.40%?~?46.82%,P<0.05)。[结论] 2000—2021年浙江省喉癌发病率与死亡率总体处于较低水平,但中标死亡率呈上升趋势,男性及75岁以上人群为死亡风险最高的核心群体。应以中老年农村男性为重点,加强控烟限酒、职业防护及早期筛查等综合防控,降低喉癌疾病负担。
英文摘要:
      Abstract: [Purpose] To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and trends in laryngeal cancer incidence and mortality in Zhejiang cancer registration areas from 2000 to 2021, and to provide a basis for developing prevention and control strategies. [Methods] Data on laryngeal cancer incidence and mortality reported by Zhejiang cancer registries areas from 2000 to 2021 were collected, reviewed by the Zhejiang Cancer Center. The crude incidence/mortality rates, age-standardized incidence/mortality rates by Chinese populations (ASIRC/ASMRC) and world standard populations (ASIRW/ASRW), cumulative rates, and truncated rates were calculated. Joinpoint regression models was used to estimate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) to assess trends. [Results] From 2000 to 2021, the average crude incidence rate of laryngeal cancer in Zhejiang cancer registration areas was 1.97/105, the ASIRC rate was 1.09/105, and the ASIRW was 1.12 /105; The 0~74 years older cumulative incidence rate was 0.14%, and the 35~64 years older truncated incidence rate was 1.95/105; The crude mortality rate for laryngeal cancer was 0.74/105, with the ASMRC rates of 0.38/105 and the ASRW 0.38/105. The 0~74 years cumulative mortality rate was 0.04%, and the 35~64 years truncated mortality rate was 0.44/105. The incidence of laryngeal cancer remains at a relatively low level before age 40 and rises rapidly after age 50. Overall incidence and incidence among men peak in the 75~79 age group, while incidence among women peaks in the 80~84 age group. From 2000 to 2021, the ASIRC of laryngeal cancer remained generally stable. The ASIRC among women showed a significant downward trend (AAPC =-4.66%, 95% CI: -6.79%~2.30%, P < 0.001), whereas in rural areas, it showed a significant upward trend (AAPC = 4.48%, 95% CI: 2.50%~6.56%, P <0.001). The ASMRC for laryngeal cancer showed an upward trend (AAPC = 3.16%, 95% CI: 0.19%~5.40%, P <0.05), with ASMRC among men also showing a significant increase (AAPC = 2.20%, 95% CI: 0.28%~4.24%, P <0.05); the AAPC for female patients was 31.32% (95% CI: 8.40%~46.82%, P <0.05). [Conclusion] From 2000 to 2021, the incidence and mortality rates of laryngeal cancer in Zhejiang Province remained generally low overall; however, the ASMRC showed an upward trend, with men and individuals aged 75 and older constituting the core groups at highest risk of death. Efforts should focus on middle-aged and elderly rural men, and comprehensive prevention and control measures, including tobacco and alcohol control, occupational protection, and early screening, should be strengthened to reduce the burden of laryngeal cancer.
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