上海市嘉定区肝癌重点人群筛查结果分析
Analysis of Liver Cancer Screening Results in Key Populations in Jiading District, Shanghai
投稿时间:2026-06-02  修订日期:2026-07-03
DOI:
中文关键词:  肝癌  重点人群  筛查
英文关键词:Liver cancer  Key population  screening
基金项目:复旦大学公共卫生学院-嘉定区卫生健康委公共卫生高质量发展重点专项(GWGZLXK-2023-01)
作者单位邮编
路明 嘉定区疾病预防控制中心 201800
王世乐 复旦大学公共卫生学院 
钟培松 嘉定区疾病预防控制中心 
彭谦 嘉定区疾病预防控制中心 
谢青 上海交通大学医学院附属瑞金医院 
陈惠怡 嘉定区疾病预防控制中心 
任洪磊 嘉定区疾病预防控制中心 
殷方兰* 嘉定区疾病预防控制中心 201800
赵琦 复旦大学公共卫生学院 
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中文摘要:
      目的 分析2024年上海市嘉定区肝癌重点人群肝癌筛查结果,为完善重点人群筛查策略提供科学依据。方法 通过信息化数据筛选肝癌重点人群作为研究对象,在13家社区卫生服务中心进行肝癌初筛,将初筛阳性转介至定点医院进一步诊断和治疗。分析该地区重点人群肝癌筛查的结果,采用2检验、多因素Logistic回归分析初筛阳性的相关因素。结果 本研究通过信息化数据筛选共纳入12013名肝癌重点人群,采用"超声+AFP(甲胎蛋白)+PIVKA-Ⅱ(异常凝血酶原)+GAAD评分(Gender-Age-AFP-DCP Algorithm,基于性别-年龄-甲胎蛋白-异常凝血酶原的肝癌风险评估算法)"的初筛检测,获得初筛阳性1230例,检出率为10.24%(1230/12013);肝癌16例,检出率0.13%(16/12013);早期(CNLCⅠa-Ⅱa期)占比达75.00%(12/16)。单因素分析显示,初筛阳性中有肝硬化病史、有乙肝病史或有脂肪肝病史确诊肝癌的比例更高。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,男性、≥60岁和有肝硬化病史者初筛阳性率更高。结论 上海市嘉定区肝癌重点人群筛查初筛阳性率以及确诊肝癌早期占比较高,信息化数据筛选可简化肝癌重点人群筛查流程,"超声+AFP+PIVKA-Ⅱ+GAAD评分"的初筛检测组合可以显著提升早期肝癌检出率,肝癌重点人群中男性、≥60岁和有肝硬化病史者是最优先入组人群,初筛阳性人群中有肝硬化病史、有乙肝病史或有脂肪肝病史人群是干预重点人群。
英文摘要:
      Objective: To analyze the results of a community?based liver cancer screening program targeting key populations in Jiading District, Shanghai, in 2024, and to provide evidence for optimizing screening strategies in real?world settings.Methods: Key populations at risk of liver cancer were identified through an information?system?based screening approach using multiple local health data platforms. Primary screening was performed at 13 community health service centers using a combination of abdominal ultrasound, serum alpha?fetoprotein (AFP), protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist?II (PIVKA?II), and the Gender?Age?AFP?DCP (GAAD score). Participants with positive screening results were referred to designated hospitals for confirmatory diagnosis and treatment. The screening outcomes were analyzed, and factors associated with positive primary screening were examined using the chi?square test and multivariate logistic regression.Results:A total of 12,013 high?risk individuals were enrolled through information?based screening. Primary screening was performed using a combined panel consisting of ultrasound, alpha?fetoprotein (AFP), protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist?II (PIVKA?II), and the GAAD score (Gender?Age?AFP?DCP Algorithm, a risk assessment model for liver cancer based on sex, age, AFP, and PIVKA?II). A total of 1,230 positive cases were identified, yielding a positivity rate of 10.24% (1,230/12,013). Overall, 16 liver cancer cases were confirmed, giving a detection rate of 0.13% (16/12,013), among which 75.00% (12/16) were diagnosed at early stages (CNLC stage Ia–IIa). Univariate analysis among screen?positive individuals showed that those with a history of cirrhosis, hepatitis B, or fatty liver disease had a significantly higher proportion of confirmed liver cancer. Multivariate logistic regression identified male sex, age ≥60 years, and a history of cirrhosis as independent factors associated with higher primary screening positivity.Conclusion: The primary screening positivity rate and the proportion of early?stage liver cancer diagnoses among the key population in Jiading District are relatively high. The information?system?based identification approach can streamline the screening workflow, and the combined panel of ultrasound, AFP, PIVKA?II, and the GAAD score may substantially improve the detection of early?stage liver cancer. Within the target population, males, individuals aged ≥60 years, and those with cirrhosis should be prioritized for enrollment. Among screen?positive participants, those with a history of cirrhosis, hepatitis B, or fatty liver disease represent key subgroups for focused intervention.
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