2010-2022年银川市户籍居民肺癌死亡的变化趋势分析
Change trend of lung cancer mortality in Yinchuan registered population in 2010-2022
投稿时间:2025-07-10  修订日期:2026-07-15
DOI:
中文关键词:  肺癌  死亡率  年度趋势分析
英文关键词:Lung cancer  Mortality  The annual change percentage
基金项目:无项目
作者单位邮编
张翻弟* 银川市疾病预防控制中心 750001
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中文摘要:
      摘要:目的 了解银川市户籍居民2010-2022年肺癌的流行趋势,为肺癌的防控策略提供科学的研究依据。方法 利用Jionpiont软件,分析肺癌死亡率的年度变化百分比。结果 2010-2022年银川市户籍居民肺癌年平均粗死亡率为26.05/10万,标化死亡率为25.30/10万;肺癌粗死亡率及标化死亡率均呈现出上升趋势,平均年度变化百分比分别为(AAPC粗死亡率=16.22% ;AAPC标化死亡率=14.34% P﹤0.05);经性别比较,男性肺癌死亡率是女性的1.97 倍,经标化后男性肺癌死亡率是女性的1.98倍;分年龄组比较后,银川市户籍居民45岁以后,肺癌死亡率随着年龄的增长而呈现出逐渐上升的趋势,75岁以后达到高峰。结论 银川市2010-2022年户籍居民肺癌粗死亡率、标化死亡率均呈现出上升的趋势;45岁以后肺癌死亡率呈现明显的升高,提示关注中老年人肺癌死亡情况,关注肺癌高危人群,开展健康宣传教育和生活方式干预,普及肺癌早期筛查。
英文摘要:
      Objective To investigate the epidemiological trends of lung cancer among registered residents in Yinchuan City from 2010 to 2022, and to provide scientific evidence for formulating lung cancer prevention and control strategies. Methods Joinpoint software was used to calculate the Annual Percent Change (APC) and analyze the temporal trend of lung cancer mortality. Subgroup analysis was conducted by gender and age. Results The average annual crude mortality rate of lung cancer among registered residents in Yinchuan from 2010 to 2022 was 26.05 per 100,000, and the age-standardized mortality rate was 25.30 per 100,000. Both rates showed a significant increasing trend, with the average annual percentage changes (AAPC) of 16.22% (crude rate) and 14.34% (standardized rate), respectively (both P5). Gender difference analysis showed that the crude mortality rate and standardized mortality rate of males were 1.97 times and 1.98 times those of females, respectively, and both genders showed an increasing trend in mortality (both P5). Age-stratified analysis indicated that lung cancer mortality increased gradually with age after 45 years old, reaching a peak in the group over 75 years old with a crude mortality rate of 346.81 per 100,000. Segmented trend analysis showed that the crude mortality rate of the total population increased rapidly from 2010 to 2018 (APC=23.88%, P<0.05), and the increasing trend slowed down from 2018 to 2022 (APC=2.29%, P>0.05); the standardized mortality rate increased from 2010 to 2018 (APC=27.12%, P<0.05) and turned to decrease from 2018 to 2022 (APC=-7.49%, P). Conclusion The mortality rate of lung cancer among registered residents in Yinchuan showed an overall increasing trend from 2010 to 2022. Males and middle-aged and elderly people over 45 years old are high-risk groups. It is necessary to carry out targeted health education, lifestyle interventions and early screening to reduce the disease burden of lung cancer.
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