术前预测乳腺癌腋窝淋巴结转移风险的Nomogram预测模型
Nomogram model to predict the risk of axillary lymph node metastasis in breast cancer patients preoperatively
投稿时间:2024-07-17  修订日期:2024-10-22
DOI:
中文关键词:  乳腺癌  腋窝淋巴结转移  诊治延迟  脉管癌栓  Nomogram
英文关键词:Breast cancer  Axillary lymph node metastasis  Delayed diagnosis and treatment  Vascular cancer thrombus  Nomogram
基金项目:厦门市科学技术局2022年厦门市医疗卫生指导性项目(项目编号:3502Z20224ZD1178);北京中医药大学2022年度校级课题(项目编号:2022-BUCMXJKY-044)。
作者单位邮编
陈瑞福 厦门市中医院乳腺科 361009
陈隽鹏* 厦门市中医院乳腺科 361009
裴晓华 厦门市中医院乳腺科 
许晨晖 厦门市中医院乳腺科 
彭阿静 厦门市中医院乳腺科 
李国英 厦门市中医院乳腺科 
杨丽华 厦门市中医院乳腺科 
周瑞娟 厦门市中医院乳腺科 
卢超逸 厦门市中医院乳腺科 
邓宁钟 福建中医药大学 
李建蓉 北京中医药大学 
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中文摘要:
      目的:探讨乳腺癌腋窝淋巴结转移的影响因素,构建并验证预测腋窝淋巴结转移风险的Nomogram模型。 方法:前瞻性收集2019年至2021年在厦门市中医院手术治疗的130例乳腺癌患者的临床病理学资料,进一步检测癌组织的微血管密度、微淋巴管密度,根据术后腋窝淋巴结状态分为无转移组及转移组,对临床、超声、钼靶及病理学等参数进行单因素及多因素分析。应用R语言软件构建预测腋窝淋巴结转移风险的Nomogram模型,采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线对模型进行验证。 结果:腋窝淋巴结转移组63例,无转移组67例,单因素分析显示诊治延迟、肿瘤位于外侧、术前可疑腋窝淋巴结、肿瘤>2cm、脉管癌栓是腋窝淋巴结转移的危险因素。多因素分析结果显示,诊治延迟、术前可疑腋窝淋巴结以及脉管癌栓是腋窝淋巴结转移的独立危险因素,这三个因素被纳入构建Nomogram预测模型。内部验证评价该模型的AUC值为0.84(95%CI 0.67~1.00)。 结论:诊治延迟、术前可疑腋窝淋巴结、脉管癌栓是乳腺癌腋窝淋巴结转移的独立危险因素,由此构建的Nomogram预测模型具有较高的准确度,在临床上用于术前预测腋窝淋巴结转移发生风险具有一定的价值。
英文摘要:
      Objective: The aim was to investigate the influencing factors of axillary lymph node metastasis of breast cancer, and establish a Nomogram model to predict the risk of axillary lymph node metastasis. Methods: The clinicopathological data of 130 breast cancer patients undergoing surgical treatment from 2019 to 2021 in Xiamen Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were prospectively collected, and the microvascular density, microlymphatic vessel density of the cancer tissues were further detected. The status of axillary lymph nodes after surgery was divided into negative group and positive group. The clinical, ultrasonic, molybdenum and pathological parameters were analyzed by univariate and multivariate analysis. The Nomogram prediction model for the risk of axillary lymph node metastasis in breast cancer patients was established by using R language software, and the model was validated by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: There were 63 cases with axillary lymph node metastasis and 67 cases without axillary lymph node metastasis. Univariate analysis showed that delayed diagnosis and treatment, lateral location of tumor, suspicious axillary lymph node before surgery, tumor > 2cm and vascular cancer embolus were risk factors for axillary lymph node metastasis. Multivariate analysis showed that delayed diagnosis and treatment, suspicious axillary lymph node before operation and vascular cancer thrombus were independent factors of axillary lymph node metastasis, and these three factors were included in the Nomogram prediction model. Internal validation evaluated the model with an AUC of 0.84(95%CI 0.67-1.00). Conclusion: Delayed diagnosis and treatment, suspicious axillary lymph node and vascular cancer thrombus are the independent risk factors of axillary lymph node metastasis. This Nomogram prediction model based on these three factors has high accuracy, and has certain value in predicting the risk of axillary lymph node metastasis before surgery.
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