2017-2022年射阳县淮河流域肝癌高危人群队列筛查效果分析
Analysis of screening effectiveness in a community-based high-risk cohort for Liver Cancer in Sheyang County within the Huaihe River Areas, 2017–2022
投稿时间:2026-05-12  修订日期:2026-07-06
DOI:
中文关键词:  肝癌  早诊早治  生存情况  淮河流域
英文关键词:Liver cancer  Early diagnosis and treatment  Survival  Huaihe River areas
基金项目:江苏省疾病预防控制局科技计划项目(JSJK2026D00038);盐城市卫健委医学科研立项项目(YK2025153)
作者单位邮编
田庆 盐城市疾病预防控制中心 224100
吴玲玲 盐城市疾病预防控制中心 224100
耿向甜 盐城市疾病预防控制中心 224100
戴曙光 射阳县疾病预防控制中心 224100
戴春云 射阳县疾病预防控制中心 224100
刘付东* 盐城市疾病预防控制中心 224100
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中文摘要:
      [目的]分析2017—2022年射阳县淮河流域肝癌高危人群队列筛查效果及成本效果。[方法]由既往乙肝表面抗原阳性人群组建高危人群队列,若人数不足则采用整群抽样方法,选取35-70岁常驻居民参加问卷调查和乙肝表面抗原检测补充队列至2000人。每年进行甲胎蛋白和B超检测。比较不同特征对象发病密度、早诊率和生存率。根据直接筛查成本,开展卫生经济学评价。[结果]高危人群队列基线人员2492人,共筛查12405人次,共有80人患癌,男性发病密度显著高于女性,存在显著年龄发病趋势;早期病例42例,早诊率为52.5%,5年生存率为43.7%;每检出1例病例和早期病例的成本分别为52150元和99333元,早期发现成本系数为0.64。[结论]射阳县淮河流域肝癌高危人群队列筛查有较高肝癌早诊率和5年生存率,具有良好的卫生经济学价值,后续应加强男性人群筛查力度,尽早干预以提高患者生存率。
英文摘要:
      [Purpose]: To analyze the screening effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a liver cancer high-risk cohort in the Huai River Basin of Sheyang County from 2017 to 2022. [Methods]: A high-risk cohort was established from individuals with a prior positive hepatitis B virus surface antigen. If the sample size was insufficient, cluster sampling was used to recruit permanent residents aged 35–70 years to participate in questionnaire surveys and hepatitis B virus surface antigen testing, supplementing the cohort to 2,000 individuals. Annual alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) testing and ultrasound examinations were performed. Incidence density(ID), early diagnosis rate, and survival rate were compared among participants with different characteristics, and health economic evaluation was conducted based on direct screening costs. [Results]: The baseline high-risk cohort included 2,492 individuals, with a total of 12,405 person-times screened. A total of 80 liver cancer cases were detected. The incidence density in males was significantly higher than that in females, and a significant age-related incidence trend was observed. There were 42 early-stage cases, with an early diagnosis rate of 52.5% and a 5-year survival rate of 43.7%. The costs per detected case and per detected early-stage case were 52,150 RMB and 99,333 RMB, respectively, and the early detection cost coefficient was 0.64. [Conclusion]: The liver cancer high-risk cohort screening in the Huai River areas of Sheyang County achieved relatively high early diagnosis and 5-year survival rates for liver cancer, demonstrating favorable health economic value. Future efforts should strengthen screening among the male population and promote early intervention to improve patient survival.
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