2022年湖南省肿瘤登记地区恶性肿瘤发病与死亡特征及2018-2022年变化趋势分析
Analysis of Cancer Incidence and Mortality Characteristics and Trends from 2018 to 2022 in the Cancer Registration Areas of Hunan Province
投稿时间:2026-05-07  修订日期:2026-06-09
DOI:
中文关键词:  恶性肿瘤  发病率  死亡率  变化趋势  湖南省
英文关键词:Cancer  Incidence  Mortality  Annual percent of change  Hunan Province
基金项目:湖南省重大科技攻关“揭榜挂帅”项目资目(2023ZJ1120);湖南省肿瘤医院高层次人才五年支持计划(20250811-1001,20250801-1013);湖南省卫生健康高层次人才重大科研专项资助(R2023117)
作者单位邮编
李灿 湖南省肿瘤医院 410013
肖海帆 湖南省肿瘤医院 410013
胡莹云 湖南省肿瘤医院 410013
石朝晖 湖南省肿瘤医院 410013
曹世钰 湖南省肿瘤医院 410013
张森茂 湖南省肿瘤医院 410013
邹艳花 湖南省肿瘤医院 410013
颜仕鹏* 湖南省肿瘤医院 410013
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中文摘要:
      摘要:[目的]通过2018至2022年湖南省肿瘤登记数据,分析湖南省恶性肿瘤的流行特征及变化趋势,为制定癌症精准防控策略提供循证依据。[方法]基于湖南省103个质控合格肿瘤登记处的数据,统计分析2022年湖南省恶性肿瘤的发病率、死亡率及其中国人口年龄标化率、累积率、截缩率和年龄别发病/死亡率等指标。采用JoinPoint回归模型计算2018—2022年恶性肿瘤发病与死亡趋势的平均年度变化百分比(Average Annual Percent of Change, AAPC)及其95%置信区间等指标。 [结果]2022年湖南省肿瘤登记地区恶性肿瘤发病率为332.78/10万,中标发病率为206.57/10万;死亡率为182.85/10万,中标死亡率为97.04/10万。恶性肿瘤发病与死亡存在明显的性别和城乡差异:男性发病率(346.11/10万)高于女性(318.49/10万),城市发病率(392.34/10万)高于农村(314.72/10万);男性死亡率(229.61/10万)高于女性(132.71/10万),男性中标死亡率为女性的1.90倍。发病率前5位的恶性肿瘤依次为肺癌(74.10/10万)、女性乳腺癌(45.92/10万)、结直肠癌(34.39/10万)、子宫颈癌(29.89/10万)和肝癌(26.10/10万)。肺癌排癌症死亡首位(57.53/10万),其后依次为肝癌(23.27/10万)、结直肠癌(17.42/10万)、胃癌(11.77/10万)和子宫颈癌(9.91/10万)。年龄别分析显示,35岁后发病率随年龄增长持续上升,于80-84岁达峰值;10-55岁女性发病率略高于男性,55岁后男性明显高于女性。死亡率于45岁后逐渐上升,85岁及以上达峰值,男性高于女性且差距随年龄扩大。2018-2022年趋势显示,总体中标发病率和中标死亡率呈上升趋势但无统计学意义(中标发病率:AAPC=0.34%,P=0.662;中标死亡率:AAPC=0.31%,P=0.592),仅农村地区女性中标发病率上升有统计学意义(AAPC=3.76%,P=0.018)。 [结论]湖南省恶性肿瘤农村地区女性中标发病率呈上升趋势,男性死亡负担高于女性。肺癌居发病和死亡首位,女性乳腺癌、子宫颈癌及结直肠癌等癌种负担突出。应针对重点癌种及不同性别、城乡人群特征,实施差异化精准防控。
英文摘要:
      Abstract: [Purpose] Based on the cancer data of Hunan Cancer Registration, we analyze the epidemiological characteristics and trends of cancer in Hunan Province from 2018 to 2022, so as to provide evidence-based support for the development of precise cancer prevention and control strategies. [Methods] Based on data from 103 quality-qualified cancer registries in Hunan Province, this study statistically analyzed the incidence and mortality rates of cancer in 2022, including Chinese age-standardized incidence/mortality rates (ASIRC/ASMRC), cumulative rates, truncated rates, and age-specific rates. The JoinPoint regression model was employed to calculate the Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) and its 95% confidence interval for trends in the incidence and mortality of cancer from 2018 to 2022. [Results] In 2022, the crude incidence rate of cancer in the cancer registration areas of Hunan Province was 332.78 per 100,000, with an age-standardized incidence rate of 206.57 per 100,000. The crude mortality rate was 182.85 per 100,000, with an age-standardized mortality rate of 97.04 per 100,000. Significant sex and urban-rural differences were observed in cancer incidence and mortality. The incidence rate in males (346.11 per 100,000) was higher than that in females (318.49 per 100,000), and the incidence rate in urban areas (392.34 per 100,000) was higher than that in rural areas (314.72 per 100,000). The mortality rate in males (229.61 per 100,000) was significantly higher than that in females (132.71 per 100,000), and the age-standardized mortality rate in males was 1.90 times that in females. The top five cancers by incidence were lung cancer (74.10 per 100,000), female breast cancer (45.92 per 100,000), colorectal cancer (34.39 per 100,000), cervical cancer (29.89 per 100,000), and liver cancer (26.10 per 100,000). Lung cancer ranked first in cancer mortality (57.53 per 100,000), followed by liver cancer (23.27 per 100,000), colorectal cancer (17.42 per 100,000), gastric cancer (11.77 per 100,000), and cervical cancer (9.91 per 100,000). Age-specific analysis showed that incidence rates increased steadily after age 35 and peaked in the 80-84 age group; Between ages 10 and 55, incidence rates were slightly higher in females than in males, while after age 55, rates were significantly higher in males. Mortality rates increased gradually after age 45 and peaked in the ≥85 age group, with males having significantly higher mortality rates than females, and the gap widening with age. Trend analysis from 2018 to 2022 indicated that the overall age-standardized incidence and mortality rates showed increasing trends without statistical significance (age-standardized incidence rate: AAPC = 0.34%, P = 0.662; age-standardized mortality rate: AAPC = 0.31%, P = 0.592). Only the age-standardized incidence rate among rural women increased significantly (AAPC = 3.76%, P = 0.018). [Conclusion] The age-standardized incidence rate of malignant tumors among rural women in Hunan Province showed an upward trend, and the mortality burden in males was higher than that in females. Lung cancer ranks first in both cancer incidence and mortality, while female breast cancer, cervical cancer, and colon-rectum cancer also contribute substantially to the cancer burden. Differentiated and precise prevention and control strategies should be implemented, targeting major cancer types and the distinct characteristics of different sex and urban-rural populations.
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