2022年甘肃省武威市恶性肿瘤流行特征及2010-2022年变化趋势分析
Analysis of the Epidemiological Characteristics of Cancer in Wuwei City, Gansu Province, 2022 and the Trends from 2010 to 2022
投稿时间:2025-11-27  修订日期:2026-02-05
DOI:
中文关键词:  恶性肿瘤  发病率  死亡率  APC  武威市
英文关键词:Tumor  heavy ion system  traditional radiotherapy  technical breakthrough  new hope of life
基金项目:武威市科技计划项目(WW23B02SF049);甘肃省省级人才项目(2021RCXM037);
作者单位邮编
高彩云 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院-肿瘤登记随访中心 733000
陈雪莲 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院-肿瘤登记随访中心 733000
张雁山 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院-肿瘤登记随访中心 733000
丁高恒 甘肃省肿瘤医院 730050
刘玉琴 甘肃省肿瘤医院 730050
马忠国 中国人民解放军94032部队医院 730050
叶延程 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院 730050
秦天燕* 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院 730050
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中文摘要:
      摘要 目的 本研究旨在分析2022年甘肃省武威市恶性肿瘤流行特征及变化趋势。方法 基于肿瘤登记及随访监测最新数据,整理经质量审核合格的甘肃省武威市各肿瘤登记点上报的恶性肿瘤发病、死亡及人口数据进行汇总分析。采用Joinpoint对数线性回归模型计算标化发病率和死亡率的平均年度变化百分比(AAPC),分析甘肃省武威市恶性肿瘤发病率和死亡率的时间变化趋势。结果 2022年甘肃省武威市恶性肿瘤新发病例数为4677例,粗发病率为263.55/10万,中标发病率为157.49/10万;死亡病例为2902例,粗死亡率为163.53/10万,中标死亡率为90.73/10万。其中男性中标发病率和中标死亡率均高于女性(176.75/10万 vs 140.20/10万);恶性肿瘤的发病和死亡随年龄递增,分别在75~79岁年龄组和80~84岁年龄组达到高峰。2022年甘肃省武威市恶性肿瘤发病与死亡情况呈现明显的性别和年龄差异。发病方面,男性前五位为胃癌、肺癌、肝癌、结直肠癌和食管癌;女性前五位为乳腺癌、胃癌、肺癌、结直肠癌和甲状腺癌。年龄分布显示,40岁前甲状腺癌是男女共同高发癌种;40岁后发病谱出现明显变化,男性以胃癌为主,高发于55~84岁,其他消化道和肺癌在55岁后快速上升;女性以乳腺癌为主,高发于40~79岁,胃癌、肺癌和结直肠癌在60岁后显著上升。死亡方面,男女前五位死因均为胃癌、肺癌、肝癌、结直肠癌和食管癌,其中胃癌占全部死亡的24.64%,死亡率在65岁后迅速上升,于80~84岁达峰。全人群死亡病例主要集中在65~84岁年龄段。2010-2022年甘肃省武威市恶性肿瘤中标发病率和中标死亡率变化趋势均无统计学意义(P>0.05);男性恶性肿瘤中标死亡率呈现下降趋势,AAPC为-2.29%(95%CI:-6.38%~-0.13%),差异有统计学意义(P=0.04)。结论 甘肃省武威市恶性肿瘤发病与死亡变化趋势平稳,仅男性死亡率呈下降趋势,整体疾病负担仍较严峻。其中,胃癌为核心防控癌种;男性以胃癌、肺癌等消化及呼吸系统肿瘤为主,女性需重点关注乳腺癌与甲状腺癌,中老年人群属高危群体。为此,需持续强化重点癌种与高危人群的综合防治工作。
英文摘要:
      Abstract Objective:This study aims to analyze the epidemiological characteristics and trends of malignant tumors in Wuwei City, Gansu Province in 2022. Methods:?Based on the latest data from tumor registration and follow-up surveillance, we conducted a pooled analysis of qualified data on the incidence, mortality, and population of malignant tumors reported by all registration sites in Wuwei City, Gansu Province, which had passed quality control. The Joinpoint log-linear regression model was employed to calculate the Average Annual Percentage Change (APC) for both the age-standardized incidence and mortality rates, analyzing the temporal trends in Wuwei City. Results:?In 2022, there were 4,677 new cases of malignant tumors in Wuwei City, Gansu Province, with a crude incidence rate of 263.55/105 and an age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of 157.49/105. There were 2,902 deaths, with a crude mortality rate of 163.53/105 and an age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of 90.73/105. The ASIR and ASMR were higher in males than in females (176.75/105 vs. 140.20/105). The incidence and mortality of malignant tumors increased with age, peaking in the 75~79 and 80~84 age groups, respectively. Significant sex and age differences were observed in the incidence and mortality of malignant tumors in Wuwei City in 2022. Regarding incidence, the top five cancers in males were stomach, lung, liver, colorectal, and esophageal cancer. In females, the top five were breast, stomach, lung, colorectal, and thyroid cancer. Age-specific distribution showed that before age 40, thyroid cancer was a common high-incidence cancer in both sexes. After 40, the spectrum changed markedly: stomach cancer predominated in males, being most prevalent in the 55~84 age group, while other digestive tract cancers and lung cancer increased rapidly after age 55. In females, breast cancer was the most common, highly prevalent in the 40~79 age group, with stomach, lung, and colorectal cancers rising significantly after age 60.For mortality, the top five causes of death for both males and females were stomach, lung, liver, colorectal, and esophageal cancer. Stomach cancer alone accounted for 24.64% of all deaths. Mortality rates increased rapidly after age 65, peaking in the 80~84 age group. The majority of deaths in the overall population were concentrated in the 65~84 age range. From 2010 to 2022, the trends in the overall ASIR and ASMR for malignant tumors in Wuwei City were not statistically significant (P>0.05). However, the ASMR in males showed a significant decreasing trend, with an Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) of -2.29% (95% CI: -6.38% to -0.13%; P=0.04).Conclusion:?The overall trends in the incidence and mortality of malignant tumors in Wuwei City, Gansu Province, remained stable, with a significant decline observed only in male mortality. However, the overall disease burden remains substantial. Stomach cancer represents a core cancer type for prevention and control efforts. Key focuses include digestive (e.g. stomach cancer) and respiratory (e.g. lung cancer) system tumors among males, while breast cancer and thyroid cancer warrant particular attention for females. Middle-aged and elderly populations constitute the high-risk groups. Therefore, it is essential to continuously strengthen comprehensive prevention and control measures targeting these key cancer types and high-risk populations.
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