四川省2013-2020年结直肠癌疾病负担变化趋势分析
Change trend analysis on the disease burden of colorectal cancer in Sichuan Province from 2013 to 2020
投稿时间:2025-05-07  修订日期:2025-08-27
DOI:
中文关键词:  结直肠癌  四川  疾病负担
英文关键词:colorectal cancer  Sichuan  disease burden
基金项目:
作者单位邮编
董婷* 四川省疾病预防控制中心 610041
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中文摘要:
      摘要 目的 利用四川省2013-2020年结直肠癌(CRC)的发病、死亡数据,来分析其疾病负担变化情况,为政策制定和措施研究提供参考依据。方法 以四川省2013-2020年连续纳入国家年报的14个县区数据,用SAS 9.4计算发病率、死亡率及其标化率,用EXCEL计算YLL和AYLL的,用Joinpoint4.9.1.0计算2013-2020年各指标的年度变化百分比(APC)以及对应的t和P值,P<0.05认为差异有统计学意义。结果 2013-2020年,20-49岁人口在逐年减少,65岁及以上人口逐年增加;发病粗率从26.55/10万上升到38.21/10万(APC=4.76,P<0.001),标化发病率差异无统计学意义;死亡粗率从12.52/10万上升到23.45/10万(APC=7.67,P<0.001),标化死亡率除男性从9.87/10万上升到14.8/10万(APC=4.15,P=0.017)外,其余差异无统计学意义;早死寿命损失年(YLL)从16328人年上升到24600人年(APC=5.59,P<0.001),平均早死寿命损失年(AYLL)除农村从25.18年下降到20.82年(APC=-2.23,P=0.011)外,其余变化差异无统计学意义。结论 从四川省2013-2020年人口、结直肠癌发病、死亡和疾病负担变化情况看,四川省人口不断老龄化,结直肠癌疾病负担不断加重,需重点关注男性和农村。
英文摘要:
      Abstract: Objective To analyze the change of disease burden, and provide reference for policy formulation and measures with the incidence and death data of colorectal cancer(CRC) in Sichuan Province from 2013 to 2020. Methods Using the data of 14 counties and districts in Sichuan Province from 2013 to 2020, the morbidity, mortality and their standardized rates were calculated by SAS 9.4, and the YLL and AYLL were calculated by EXCEL. Joinpoint4.9.1.0 was used to calculate Annual Percentage Change (APC) and corresponding t and P values of each index from 2013 to 2020. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results From 2013 to 2020, the population aged 20-49 years decreased, and the population aged 65 years and above increased. The crude morbidity rate increased from 26.55/105to 38.21/105 (APC=4.76, P < 0.001), and there was no significant difference in standardized incidence. The crude mortality rate increased from 12.52/105 to 23.45/105 (APC=7.67, P < 0.001), and the standardized mortality rate of male increased from 9.87/105 to 14.8/105 (APC=4.15, P=0.017). The years of life lost (YLL) increased from 16328 man years to 24600 man years (APC=5.59, P < 0.001), and the average years of life lost (AYLL) decreased from 25.18 years to 20.82 years in rural areas (APC=-2.23, P=0.011), the other changes were not statistically significant. Conclusion From the changes of population, incidence, death and disease burden of CRC in Sichuan Province from 2013 to 2020, the population of Sichuan Province is aging, and the disease burden of colorectal cancer is increasing, and it is necessary to focus on males and rural areas.
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