2016-2020年南宁市肿瘤登记地区甲状腺癌流行特征及趋势分析
Epidemic Characteristics and Trends of Thyroid Cancer in Nanning Cancer Registration Areas from 2016 to 2020
投稿时间:2024-11-22  修订日期:2025-02-21
DOI:
中文关键词:  甲状腺癌  发病率  死亡率  趋势分析  南宁市
英文关键词:thyoid cancer  incidence  mortality  trend analysis  Nanning
基金项目:广西卫生健康委员会自筹经费科研课题(Z20210611,Z20201249)
作者单位邮编
黄秋兰 南宁市疾病预防控制中心 530023
叶琳 南宁市疾病预防控制中心 530023
梁竹 南宁市疾病预防控制中心 530023
周吉 南宁市疾病预防控制中心 530023
朱荣健 南宁市疾病预防控制中心 530023
唐咸艳* 广西医科大学公共卫生学院 530021
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中文摘要:
      摘 要:[目的] 掌握南宁市肿瘤登记地区甲状腺癌流行特征及其变化趋势,为政府制定相关预防和治疗策略提供科学依据。[方法] 收集整理2016至2020年期间符合数据质量评价标准的南宁市肿瘤登记处的数据,选取甲状腺癌的发病和死亡数据进行研究。计算甲状腺癌发病(死亡)率、中国人口和世界人口标化发病(死亡)率(简称中标率和世标率)、0~74岁累积发病(死亡)率、年龄别发病(死亡)率等指标。通过拟合连接点回归模型,评估发病和死亡的变化趋势。[结果] 南宁市肿瘤登记地区在2016至2020年期间累计登记报告2291例新发甲状腺癌病例,发病率、中标发病率和世标发病率分别为7.70/10万、7.23/10万和6.22/10万,0~74岁累积发病率为0.59%。女性发病率显著高于男性(=731.15,P<0.05),城市地区发病率显著高于农村地区(=373.96,P<0.05)。从20岁起甲状腺癌的发病率迅速上升,在50~54岁年龄组达到峰值后逐渐回落,其中女性在30~59岁年龄间保持较高的发病水平,且高于男性。同期,甲状腺癌死亡病例数累计121例,死亡率、中标死亡率和世标死亡率分别为0.41/10万、0.32/10万和0.31/10万,0~74岁累积死亡率为0.03%。女性死亡率高于男性(=10.77,P<0.05)。从40岁起甲状腺癌年龄别死亡率呈现波浪式上升的走势,在75~79岁年龄组达到峰值。2016—2020年南宁市肿瘤登记地区甲状腺癌发病率(AAPC=21.11%,t=3.25,P<0.05)和中标发病率(AAPC=22.02%,t=3.39,P<0.05)均呈上升趋势,男性发病率(AAPC=19.45%,t=4.35,P<0.05)和中发病标率(AAPC=19.81%,t=5.74,P<0.05)均呈上升趋势,城市地区发病率(AAPC=30.62%,t=7.13,P<0.05)和中标发病率(AAPC=32.38%,t=7.25,P<0.05)均呈上升趋势;城市地区甲状腺癌死亡率(AAPC=43.06%,t=7.73,P<0.05)和中标死亡率(AAPC=47.63%,t=8.60,P<0.05)均呈上升趋势。[结论] 2016—2020年南宁市肿瘤登记地区甲状腺癌的发病呈现上升趋势,城市地区是重点防控区域,育龄妇女和更年期妇女是高危人群。
英文摘要:
      Abstract: [Objective] To comprehend the epidemiological characteristics and trends of thyroid cancer in the tumor registration areas of Nanning City, and provide scientific evidence for the government to formulate relevant prevention and treatment strategies. [Methods] The data from the Nanning Cancer Registration that met the quality assessment criteria during the period from 2016 to 2020 were collected and compiled, and the incidence and mortality data of thyroid cancer were selected for analysis.The incidence (mortality) rate, the age-standardized incidence (mortality) rates by Chinese standard population(ASIRC, ASMRC) and world standard population (ASIRW, ASMRW), the cumulative incidence (mortality) rate of the age between 0 and 74 years, and the age-specific incidence (mortality) rate were calculated. The joinpoint regression model was used to estimate the trends of incidence and mortality.. [Results] During the period from 2016 to 2020, a total of 2291 new cases of thyroid cancer were reported in Nanning Cancer Registration. The incidence rate was 7.70/105, with the ASIRC of 7.23/105 and ASIRW of 6.22/105, the cumulative incidence rate of the age between 0 and74 years was 0.59%. The incidence was higher in female than that in male(=731.15, P<0.05) , and higher in urban areas than that in rural areas(=373.96, P<0.05). The incidence rate of thyroid cancer began to rise sharply from the 20 years old and declined after peaking in the 50~54 years age group. The incidence rate in female remained at a high level in the age group of 30~59 years old, which was higher than that in male. A total of 121 deaths of thyroid cancer were reported. the mortality rate was 0.41/105, with the ASMRC of 0.32/105, and ASMRW of 0.31/105, the cumulative mortality rate of the age between 0 and 74 years was 0.03%. The mortality rate was higher in female than that in male (=10.77, P<0.05). The age-specific mortality rate for thyroid cancer showed a wave-like upward trend after the 40 years old and peaked in the 75 - 79 age group.. The incidence rate and ASIRC appeared a tendency towards a rise among the whole population (AAPC=21.11%, t=3.25, P<0.05; AAPC=22.02%, t=3.39, P<0.05) , male (AAPC=19.45%, t=4.35,P<0.05; AAPC=19.81%,t=5.74,P<0.05) and Urban areas (AAPC=30.62%, t=7.13, P<0.05; AAPC=32.38%, t=7.25, P<0.05) in Nanning cancer registration areas. The mortality rate and ASMRC in the Urban areas (AAPC=43.06%, t=7.73, P<0.05; AAPC=47.63%, t=8.60, P<0.05) showed an increasing trend. [Conclusions] The incidence rate of thyroid cancer in cancer registration areas of Nanning City showed an upward trend from 2016 to 2020. Urban areas should be the key regions for prevention and control , and women of childbearing age and menopausal women should be the high - risk groups.
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