基于Markov模型的安徽省城市肺癌筛查卫生经济学评价研究
Health Economics Evaluation of Urban Lung Cancer Screening in Anhui Province Based on Markov Modeling
投稿时间:2023-12-21  修订日期:2024-05-01
DOI:
中文关键词:  LDCT筛查  成本效果分析  成本效用分析
英文关键词:LDCT screening  cost-effectiveness analysis  cost-utility analysis
基金项目:安徽省自然科学基金
作者单位邮编
王莉 安徽医科大学卫生管理学院 230032
刘慧婷 安徽医科大学卫生管理学院 230032
钱立庭 中国科学技术大学附属第一医院 230001
魏东华 中国科学技术大学附属第一医院 230031
马艳玲 中国科学技术大学附属第一医院 230031
王德斌 安徽医科大学卫生管理学院 230032
柴静* 安徽医科大学卫生管理学院 230032
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中文摘要:
      [目的] 对安徽省城市肺癌筛查项目进行成本效果和成本效用分析,为安徽省制定肺癌筛查政策提供建议。[方法] 基于现场调研数据和文献数据,建立低剂量螺旋CT(Low-Dose Computed Tomography,LDCT)肺癌筛查干预的Markov决策模型。模拟不同干预下人群的发展情况,使用挽救的生命年(LYS)、质量调整生命年(QALYs)作为效果指标,对不同筛查策略进行成本效果、成本效用分析。成本数据以3%贴现率进行贴现。[结果] 1年1次、2年1次、3年1次、5年1次的筛查方案每挽救一个LYS或QALYs均符合成本效果原则。其中,成本效果比与成本效用比最好的筛查策略均为2年1次LDCT肺癌筛查策略,分别为 72441.54元/LYS、71050.24元/QALY。 [结论] LDCT肺癌筛查方案具有良好的成本效果,不同筛查频次的策略均为可选策略,最佳筛查策略为2年1次。
英文摘要:
      [Objective] Cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analysis were conducted on the lung cancer screening project in urban areas of Anhui Province to provide suggestions for the formulation of lung cancer screening policies in Anhui Province. [Methods] A Markov decision model for Low-Dose Computed Tomography (LDCT) lung cancer screening intervention was established based on on-site survey data and literature data. The development of the population under different interventions was simulated, using saved life years (LYS) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) as effectiveness indicators, to conduct cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analyses of different screening strategies. Cost data were discounted at a 3% discount rate. [Results] The screening schemes of once a year, once every two years, once every three years, and once every five years all meet the cost-effectiveness principle for saving one LYS or QALY. Among them, the best screening strategy in terms of cost-effectiveness and cost-utility is the LDCT lung cancer screening strategy once every two years, with costs of 72,441.54 yuan/LYS and 71,050.24 yuan/QALY, respectively. [Conclusion] The LDCT lung cancer screening program demonstrates good cost-effectiveness, with strategies of different screening frequencies being viable options. The optimal screening strategy is screening once every two years.
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